Model for Assessing Potential Capabilities of Surface-to-Air Missile Forces Group to Repel Air Attacks

Authors

  • Viacheslav Petrovich Gorodnov National Academy of the National Guard of Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3849/aimt.01957

Keywords:

battle model, Markov processes, theorem, surface-to-air missile systems

Abstract

To construct the model, a theorem on specific properties of Markov graphs is proven. Based on this, an analytical representation of the model described in the title is derived within the framework of continuous-time, discrete-state Markov processes. The model accounts for the structure of surface-to-air missile systems (SAMS) in ground-based group battle formations, as well as the formations of means of air attack (MAA) in the air. Its validity is confirmed by showing that the analytical model can be reduced to known and previously verified models. The results demonstrate that relying on traditional models can overestimate the effectiveness of SAMS groupings by up to three times, potentially leading to incorrect conclusions about their capability to accomplish combat missions.

Author Biography

  • Viacheslav Petrovich Gorodnov, National Academy of the National Guard of Ukraine
    National Academy of the National Guard of Ukraine, professor

References

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Published

16-10-2025

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Section

Original research article

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How to Cite

Gorodnov, V. P. (2025). Model for Assessing Potential Capabilities of Surface-to-Air Missile Forces Group to Repel Air Attacks. Advances in Military Technology, 20(2), 449-465. https://doi.org/10.3849/aimt.01957

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