Inner Law and Models for Forecasting the Results of Air Defense Battle

Authors

  • Viacheslav Petrovich Gorodnov National Academy of the National Guard of Ukraine
  • Viacheslav Ovcharenko Kiev Institute of the National Guard of Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3849/aimt.01564

Keywords:

air defense, grouping of surface-to-air missile forces, Markov processes, modeling

Abstract

The purpose of the article was to find the inner properties and regularities of anti-aircraft missile grouping’s air defense battle, and based on these regularities to develop and evaluate the adequacy of models as tools for forecasting the results of a battle. To achieve the goal, an example of a real battle and a special model development method were used. The method made it possible to identify the main properties and the inner law of battle, to select a statistically valid mathematical modeling tool in the class of Markov processes with continuous time and discrete states, to develop the desired models with an analytical representation of the inner law of battle, to check their adequacy and to evaluate the accuracy of forecasting by models using the example of a real air defense battle.

Author Biography

  • Viacheslav Petrovich Gorodnov, National Academy of the National Guard of Ukraine
    National Academy of the National Guard of Ukraine, professor

References

ZHAO, Z.Q., J.X. HAO and L.J. LI. Study on Combat Effectiveness of Air Defense Missile Weapon System Based on Queuing Theory. In 7th International Conference on Electronics and Information Engineering. Nanjing: SPIE, 2017. DOI 10.1117/12.2266077.

RAO, D.V. and M. RAVISHANKAR. A Methodology for Optimal Deployment and Effectiveness Evaluation of Air Defense Resources Using Game Theory. Sådhanå, 2020, 45, pp. 1-15. DOI 10.1007/s12046-020-1293-8.

DING, J., Q. ZHAO, J. LI and J. XU. Temporal Constraint Modeling and Conflict Resolving Based on the Combat Process of Air and Missile Defense System. In: IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics (SMC). Bari: IEEE, 2019, pp. 2684-2689. DOI 10.1109/SMC.2019.8914484.

GAO, X., C. LU, J. TANG, L. FAN, Y. LING and Y. LI. An Evaluation Method of Object-Oriented Petri Net on Combat Effectiveness of Air Defense and Antimissile. In: 8th IEEE International Conference on Communication Software and Networks (ICCSN). Beijing: IEEE, 2016, pp. 590-596. DOI 10.1109/ICCSN.2016.7586592.

ZHONG, Z. and L. ZHANG. The Combat Application of Queuing Theory Model in Formation Ship to Air Missile Air Defense Operations. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 2020, 1570, 012083. DOI 10.1088/1742-6596/1570/1/012083.

GORODNOV, V.P. Option of Methodological and Technological Bases of Development, Evaluation and Forecast the Efficiency of Real Objects’ and Processes’ Mathematical Models. InterConf, 67, pp. 444-460. DOI 10.51582/interconf.19-20.07.2021.046.

GORODNOV, V.P. Modeling of Combat Operations of Units, Formations and Associations of the Air Defense Forces (in Russian): Kharkov: Publishing House of Military Engineering Academy of Air Defense, 1987.

GORODNOV, V.P. Higher Mathematics (in Simple Language, With Examples): a Textbook for Students of Economic Specialties of Higher Educational Establishments (in Ukrainian). 3rd ed. Kharkov: Publishing House of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine, 2013. ISBN 978-966-8558-45-0.

GORODNOV, V.P. Theoretical Bases of Modeling of Microeconomic and Other Processes and Systems (in Russian). Kharkov: Publishing House of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine, 2009. ISBN 978-966-8558-23-8.

Downloads

Published

20-09-2022

Issue

Section

Research Paper

Categories

How to Cite

Inner Law and Models for Forecasting the Results of Air Defense Battle. (2022). Advances in Military Technology, 17(2), 246-261. https://doi.org/10.3849/aimt.01564

Similar Articles

1-10 of 178

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.

Most read articles by the same author(s)